LONDON, May 9
(Reuters): Gold fell for a third day on Wednesday, touching a four-month low
and all but wiping out its gains for the year as the escalation in the euro
zone debt crisis prompted investors to favour dollars and German government
bonds as safe-havens.
Political disarray in Greece, a change in the French
presidency and renewed concern about the resilience of the Spanish banking
sector sent the euro to a 15-week low against the dollar and propelled German
bond futures to record highs.
Spot gold was down 1.2 percent on the day at $1,585.01 an
ounce at 0940 GMT, having lost more than 3 percent so far this week in its
largest weekly slide since mid-March.
"It's not as though the escalation of the political
risk in Europe is doing anything positive for gold prices at all and this is
totally different to how we were between 2008 and 2010, when all the
correlations were totally reversed and the weakening of the euro actually led
to a strengthening in the gold price," Natixis head of commodity research
Nic Brown said.
"This very much suggests that we are not getting demand
for gold from European investors. The dymanic is purely from the impact of the
crisis on to the FX market and from that, directly on to the gold price,"
he said.
The gold price is on the verge of wiping out all the gains
for 2012 and shows a rise of just 1.4 percent, compared with a year-to-date
gain of as much as 14 percent in late February.
This compares with an 8.4 percent advance in the S&P 500
and gains of nearly 10 percent and nearly 6.5 percent in Chinese equities and
crude oil respectively in 2012.
FEARS GROW IN EUROPE
In Europe, radical leftist Alexis Tsipras was to meet the
leaders of Greece's mainstream parties on Wednesday to try to form a coalition
government, after demanding they first agree to tear up the country's EU/IMF
bailout deal.
In Spain, Madrid will demand banks set aside another 35
billion euros ($45 billion) against loans to builders, financial sources said,
as it battles to rebuild confidence in a sector where huge losses have raised
fears the country may need an international bailout.
Nervousness over the worsening situation in Spain sent
yields on the benchmark 10-year Obligacion beyond the 6.00 percent threshold
that many see as unsustainable in terms of servicing the country's debt burden,
thereby further undermining the euro.
The drag of the single European currency on the gold price
intensified on Wednesday.
Gold's correlation to the euro, the frequency with which
these two assets move in tandem, strengthed to reach a one-week high of +41
percent, meaning gold was more likely to mirror movements in the euro than
trade in the opposite direction.
Gold priced in euros fell by 1.1 percent on the day to a
four-month low of 1,220.07 euros an ounce.
"Gold seems to be pegged to the euro and this is not
going to rally in a hurry either. So all in all, I expect the market to trend
lower and would look for a trading range for the next month of 1525-1650,"
David Govett, head of precious metals at Marex-Spectron, said.
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